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New Polls Show Obama Leading In Battleground States New Hampshire And Virginia

New Hampshire voters strongly favor protecting Social Security and Medicare; creating jobs through infrastructure, USAction surveys find Two brand new surveys show President Obama with leads in New Hampshire and Virginia as the presidential race enters its final two weeks. The surveys, conducted by Lake Research Partners and The Mellman Group, show President Obama with a three-point lead in New Hampshire and a one-point lead in Virginia.


In New Hampshire, the survey commissioned by USAction and conducted by Lake Research Partners measured 400 respondents and has a margin of error of five percentage points. It shows Obama leading Gov. Mitt Romney 48-45 with 7 percent undecided. The poll was conducted Friday, Oct. 18 through Monday, Oct. 22.

“Driving the President’s lead on the ballot is a significant 13-point gender gap,” said pollster Celinda Lake. “Currently, a 52% majority of women is supporting Obama, while just 43% are voting for Romney. Among men, Romney is ahead by just 4 points, well within the survey’s margin of error: 47% to 43%.”
Lake added that Romney’s unpopularity among women is a serious drag on his New Hampshire numbers. “Women liked him on the first date, but not the second date and not the third,” she said.

In Virginia, the survey commissioned by Americans United for Change and conducted by the Mellman Group measured 800 respondents. It showed Obama leading Romney 46-45 with 8 percent undecided. The survey was conducted Friday, Oct. 18 through Sunday, Oct. 21.

The New Hampshire and Virginia polls were released today as part of a series of battleground state surveys being conducted between now and Election Day. USAction will be hosting a series of briefings with expert pollsters over the next 12 days to discuss the results and related landscape.

The New Hampshire survey also queried likely voters about a range of issues, including Medicare, Social Security, job outsourcing and job creation through infrastructure projects.

It found:

57 percent oppose privatizing Medicare, with 21 percent in favor. 20 percent are undecided.

89 percent oppose cutting Social Security benefits. Six percent favor, and 4 percent are undecided.

50 percent favor ending tax credits for businesses that ship jobs overseas. 40 percent are opposed and 9 percent are undecided.
81 percent favor creating jobs by investing in repair of roads, bridges and schools. 15 percent oppose and 4 percent are undecided.

Survey toplines are available by visiting:
• Lake Research Partners Memo on New Hampshire
http://lakeresearch.com/news/USA/LRP
• New Hampshire toplines:
http://lakeresearch.com/news/USA/Public


USAction is a federation of 22 state affiliates that organize for a more just America. With our state partners, we build broad coalitions to win progressive campaigns that enrich people’s lives.

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